The last massive Wallstreet Financial Crisis was in 2008. Since then, the traditional market has got back on its feet and at the cusp of pulling off the longest Bull Run in US stock market history. The best indicator of the US market, is the S&P 500 share index that has had an impressive run of approximately 3,500 days since the last crash: 9 and a half years. The previous bull run started in October 1990 and lasted almost a decade when the dot com bubble burst.
Further arguments state that the recent election of President Trump has enabled the market to continue on its upward trajectory. One report states that the current Wallstreet bull run needs to continue for a while for it to be the longest:
The US Financial Industry Regulatory Authority reckons the tech rally began in 1987, rather than 1990, meaning the current bull market would need to continue until at least the summer of 2021 to break the record.
Calls For Caution
Controversial internet guru, Kim Dotcom, has cautioned against an over-reliance on the USD in a tweet which stated we should instead buy crypto and gold. This would be to hedge against an imminent US economic crash of epic proportions. In the tweet, he said:
Trust me. Buy crypto and gold.
Your USD will become worthless. With US economic collapse all old money currencies will crash. Times will get tough.
But you’ll be fine if you hedge some of your assets in preparation for the crash.
The big crash is coming 100%.
A Similar Call from JP Morgan’s Top Quantitative Analyst
In a recent CNBC interview, JP Morgan’s top quant, Dr. Marko Kolanovic, warns that the next financial crisis will have flash crashes as well as social unrest not seen in over 50 years. Kolanovic has a Ph.D. in theoretical physics and was part of a team that complied a 168 page report on the 2008 Wallstreet Financial Crisis 10 years later.
In the interview he stated that the likelihood of such a crisis to happen are low at least till the second half of 2019. The exact timing of this crisis is uncertain but will be determined by the speed in which the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates and reverses bond purchases (a legacy of the last crisis).
BTC to Hedge Against a Declining USD
As Kim Dotcom stated in the aforementioned tweet, it would be prudent to consider hedging for a financial crisis by buying Bitcoin or Gold in advance.
BTC is a favorite asset during times of financial turmoil as can be seen with the current financial crisis in Turkey and Iran due to sanctions. Citizens of both countries are buying BTC to hedge against their declining national currencies. If a similar situation were to happen in the US, Bitcoin would thrive and possibly end up being accepted as the sole global currency replacing the USD.
Disclaimer: This article is not meant to give financial advice. Any opinion herein should be taken as is. Please carry out your own research before investing in any of the numerous cryptocurrencies available.
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